传送门：http://poj.org/problem?id=3744
令f(i)表示到i，安全的概率。则f(i) = f(i - 1) * p + f(i - 2) * (1 - p)，若i位置有地雷，则f(i) = 0.很显然，要用矩阵来加速，矩阵也很好构造，懒得写了，百度图片搜“poj3744”就能看到。注意一下边界的处理。
#include <cstdio>
#include <algorithm>
#include <cstring> const int maxn = 15; int n, a[maxn], ima;
double p, mtx[2][2] = {{0.5, 0.5}, {1.0, 0.0}}, rt[2][2], tem[2][2], ans[2][2]; inline void mul(double a[2][2], double b[2][2]) {
tem[0][0] = a[0][0] * b[0][0] + a[0][1] * b[1][0];
tem[0][1] = a[0][0] * b[0][1] + a[0][1] * b[1][1];
tem[1][0] = a[1][0] * b[0][0] + a[1][1] * b[1][0];
tem[1][1] = a[1][0] * b[0][1] + a[1][1] * b[1][1];
memcpy((void*)b, (void*)tem, sizeof tem);
}
inline void poww(int mi) {
int i;
for (i = 31; mi >> i & 1 ^ 1; --i);
memcpy((void*)rt, (void*)mtx, sizeof mtx);
for (--i; ~i; --i) {
mul(rt, rt);
if (mi >> i & 1) {
mul(mtx, rt);
}
}
} int main(void) {
//freopen("in.txt", "r", stdin);
while (scanf("%d%lf", &n, &p) != EOF) {
mtx[0][0] = p;
mtx[0][1] = 1.0 - p;
for (int i = 1; i <= n; ++i) {
scanf("%d", a + i);
}
std::sort(a + 1, a + n + 1);
n = std::unique(a + 1, a + n + 1) - a - 1;\
for (int i = 1; i <= n; ++i) {
if (a[i] - a[i - 1] == 1) {
puts("0.0000000");
goto end;
}
}
ans[0][0] = 0.0;
ans[1][0] = 1.0 / (1.0 - p);
for (int i = 1; i <= n; ++i) {
poww(a[i] - a[i - 1] - 1);
mul(rt, ans);
ans[1][0] = ans[0][0];
ans[0][0] = 0.0;
}
printf("%.7f\n", ans[0][0] * p + ans[1][0] * (1.0 - p)); end:;
}
return 0;
}